October 2019

Tunisia President Kais Saied made his first major decision as head of state on Tuesday, approving the replacement of the foreign and defence ministers as the new parliament prepares for coalition talks.

Saied was elected president in a landslide on October 13, and was invested last Wednesday as head of state, a role that in Tunisia’s political system gives him direct control over foreign and defence policy.

However, while the president is the most senior directly elected official, most power is held by a governing coalition that requires a parliamentary majority.

The moderate Islamist Ennahda, which won more seats than any other party in the October 6 parliamentary election, is preparing for formal negotiations with other parties to appoint a prime minister and a new government.

With the parliament deeply fractured and Ennahda holding only 52 of the 217 seats, however, any new governing coalition will require complex and potentially lengthy negotiations.

If Ennahda’s candidate for prime minister is not able to form a government within two months, Saied can name another candidate who would also have two months to try to build a coalition before new elections would be required.

Prime Minister Youssef Chahed, who will keep his job until a new government is agreed, dismissed Khemaies Jhinaoui as foreign minister and Abdelkarim Zbidi as defense minister after consulting with Saied, Tuesday’s presidency statement said.


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Democrats in Congress, answering Republican complaints that their impeachment investigation of US President Donald Trump is being conducted in secret, plan a vote on Thursday on how to make their inquiry public, a significant new stage in the probe.

Trump and his fellow Republicans have for weeks branded the work of committees probing Trump’s overtures to Ukraine as illegitimate, arguing the full Democratic-led House of Representatives had failed to authorize their investigations in a public vote.

Meeting behind closed doors, the House Intelligence, Foreign Affairs and Oversight committees have been looking into the possibility that Trump violated federal law by seeking foreign help for his November 2020 re-election efforts.

House Rules Committee Chairperson James McGovern said on Monday: “I will be introducing a resolution to ensure transparency and provide a clear path forward.”

House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff said in a statement the legislation would establish a format for open hearings.

The US Constitution gives the House broad authority to set ground rules for an impeachment inquiry and Democrats say they are following House rules on investigations.

Several administration officials, including a former deputy national security adviser on Monday, have failed to testify to House committees engaged in the probe.

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said in a letter to her fellow House Democrats the House will vote this week – on Thursday, according to a senior Democratic aide – on a resolution that spells out how future public hearings will be held.

Pelosi promised to provide legal protections for Trump.

A source familiar with the probe said the public hearings will be held by the Intelligence Committee and that the transcripts from closed depositions with witnesses will be made public. A senior House Democratic aide said the hearings could begin within the next month.

The measure will set the stage for House investigating committees to forward evidence they have collected to the House Judiciary Committee, which would then decide whether to advance articles of impeachment against Trump.

Even if the House impeaches Trump, he would face a trial in the Republican-controlled Senate, which for the moment seems unlikely to convict the president and force his ouster.

Impeachment requires a simple majority in the 435-member House but conviction demands the support of a two-thirds majority in the 100-member Senate.


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The former Executive of Corporate Affairs at Eskom, Chose Choeu says the relationship between Eskom and the Gupta-owned New Age TNA breakfast events began to seem more like a commercial relationship in which TNA was benefitting,  but with no real value for Eskom.

He says that is why he decided not to contract the Guptas’ TNA breakfast briefing for a second time from 2013 to 2014. Earlier, Choeu denied that he pushed for Eskom to sponsor the TNA briefings, following an instruction from former Eskom CEO Brian Dames and former Public Enterprises Minister Malusi Gigaba.

Choeu conceded that the New Age’s business breakfast sponsorships were contracted without getting final approval from Eskom’s sponsorship committee. Choeu is responding to questions at the commission of inquiry into allegations of State Capture currently underway in Parktown, Johannesburg.

Listen to Choeu respond to questions:


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Mozambique’s opposition party Renamo has rejected President Filipe Nyusi’s landslide election victory. The result was announced on Sunday following the election on 15th October.

Nyusi’s party, Frelimo got 73% of the vote while Renamo presidential candidate Ossufo Momade got 23%.

Frelimo won 184 parliamentary seats from 144 in the 2014 polls.

Renamo lost 29 of the 89 seats it held. It is claiming massive electoral fraud.

During his second five-year term, Nyusi will be responsible for overseeing a gas boom led by oil giants such as Exxon Mobil Corp and Total, battling a festering Islamist insurgency and delivering on a peace deal signed two months ago.

It was hoped the 15 October poll could set the seal on the fragile pact, designed to put a definitive end to four decades of violence between Frelimo and Renamo.

The two fought a 16-year civil war that ended in a truce in 1992 but have clashed sporadically since.

Instead, the deal is at risk of falling apart as opposition parties reject the results, claiming they were tarnished by fraud, violence and irregularities from the outset.

Frelimo says the elections were free and fair.

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Mineral Resources and Energy Minister Gwede Mantashe says discussions are underway with industry players to find a way to reduce electricity prices.

He has again said the country’s electricity prices are extremely high.

Mantashe says the prices have gone up by over 500% over the last ten years.

The Minister was briefing parliament’s oversight portfolio committee on the Integrated Resources Plan.

The plan, which is the country’s blueprint on how to harness different sources of energy to augment the national grid, was approved by cabinet recently.

“If we succeed in that discussion with both window 1, 2, and 3 of renewables and coal producers to reduce the prices, then we can go to Eskom and Nersa and engage them on the possible of reducing the price of electricity… particularly terms of focusing on industrial consumers and mines which are intensive energy consumers.”

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Hong Kong’s embattled leader Carrie Lam said on Tuesday she expects the Asian financial hub to record negative economic growth for the full 2019 year, as the city grapples with five months of often violent anti-government protests.

Lam was speaking two days after Financial Secretary Paul Chan said Hong Kong has fallen into recession and was unlikely to achieve any growth this year.

The protests, which started over a now-withdrawn extradition bill that would have allowed suspects to be sent to mainland China for trial, have evolved into calls for greater democracy and plunged the city into its biggest political crisis in decades. They have also taken a heavy toll on the economy.

“Our current assessment is that the full year of 2019 will likely show negative growth, which means we won’t be able to achieve the already revised down positive growth of 0-1%,” Lam said. “The situation is very grim”.

A preliminary estimate for third-quarter GDP on Thursday is expected to show two successive quarters of contraction – the technical definition of a recession.

Beijing-backed Lam said the government would announce fresh measures to boost the economy once unrest in the Chinese-ruled city settles. She did not elaborate.

The government last week announced relief measures of HK$2 billion, following a HK$19.1 billion package in August to support the economy.

On Sunday, black-clad and masked demonstrators set fire to shops and hurled petrol bombs at police following a now-familiar pattern of protests, which show no sign of letting up.

Lam said the central government in Beijing was confident her administration could return the city to normal and had been supporting her in upholding law and order.

Protesters are angry about what they view as increasing interference by Beijing in Hong Kong, which returned to Chinese rule in 1997 under a “one country, two systems” formula intended to guarantee freedoms not seen on the mainland.

China denies meddling. It has accused foreign governments, including the United States and Britain, of stirring up trouble.

Tourist numbers have plummeted, with visitor numbers down nearly 50% in October, record declines in retail sales, rising unemployment and bankruptcies.


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Tanzania’s state carrier plans to double the size of its fleet to 14 aircraft by 2022 and is exploring new routes and code-sharing agreements with other airlines, a senior government official said on Saturday.

The plans were announced by Tanzanian transport ministry permanent secretary Leonard Chamuriho at a ceremony in the commercial capital Dar es Salaam marking the delivery of the airline’s second Boeing 787-8 Dreamliner.

The arrival of the plane brought the number of new aircraft purchased by the government to seven.

Air Tanzania currently holds just over 70% of the country’s domestic air travel market, Chamuriho said.

“We aim to introduce flights to Guangzhou, China, by the end of this year as well as new routes to Nairobi, Lubumbashi and Kinshasa by June next year,” he said.

The government hopes that a more efficient national airline will help boost tourism, the main foreign exchange earner in the East African nation’s economy.

Air Tanzania’s existing fleet now includes two Boeing 787-8 Dreamliners, two Airbus A220-300 jets and three DHC Dash 8-400 aircraft, formerly known as the Bombardier Q400 turboprop.


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Deputy President David Mabuza is on a week-long visit to China where he will co-chair the 7th Session of the South Africa-China Bi-National Commission and key on his agenda will be to map out more ways for South African businesses to make inroads to the world’s second largest economy.

Even before the South Africa-China Bi-National Commission kicks off, the Deputy President has a busy schedule in Beijing.

On Tuesday, Mabuza will visit Chairman Mao Zedong Memorial Hall, as well as the Forbidden City and the Great Wall.

He will also get a tour of Huawei Technologies to get a glimpse of a company at the forefront of China’s global ambitions  before meeting with Communist Party of China (CPC) leadership.

The trip is said to be aimed at promoting mutually beneficial relations at both continental and global stage. But South Africa has an eye on the opportunity China can offer.

The Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Agreement signed in 2010 has seen the two countries build on diplomatic relations over the past decade.

But on the trade front, the scales appear out of balance.

Around 26 South African companies have invested a total of around R88 billion in China since 2003.

By contrast, 88 Chinese firms have invested around R116 billion in South African over the same period.


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Hong Kong has fallen into recession, hit by more than five months of anti-government protests that show no signs of relenting, and is unlikely to achieve annual economic growth this year, the city’s Financial Secretary said.

“The blow to our economy is comprehensive,” Paul Chan said in a blog post on Sunday, adding that a preliminary estimate for third-quarter GDP on Thursday would show two successive quarters of contraction – the technical definition of a recession.

He also said it would be “extremely difficult” to achieve the government’s pre-protest forecast of 0-1 % annual economic growth.

Protests in the former British colony have reached their 21st week. On Sunday, black-clad and masked demonstrators set fire to shops and hurled petrol bombs at police who responded with tear gas, water cannon and rubber bullets.

Protesters have routinely torched store fronts and businesses including banks, particularly those owned by mainland Chinese companies and vandalized the city’s metro system MTR Corp as they view it as acting at the government’s behest to curtail protests.

The MTR has shut services early for the past few weeks and said it will close around two hours earlier than normal on Monday by 11 pm to repair damaged facilities.

Tourists numbers have plummeted, a decline Chan called an “emergency” with the drop in visitor numbers worsening in October, down nearly 50 percent.

Retail operators, from prime shopping malls to mom and pop businesses, have been forced to shutter for multiple days over the past few months.

While authorities have announced measures to support local small and medium seized enterprises, Chan said the measures could only “slightly reduce the pressure”.

“Let citizens return to normal life, let industry and commerce to operate normally, and create more space for rational dialogue,” he wrote.

Protesters are angry about what they view as increasing interference by Beijing in Hong Kong, which returned to Chinese rule in 1997 under a “one country, two systems” formula intended to guarantee freedoms not seen on the mainland.

China denies meddling. It has accused foreign governments, including the United States and Britain, of stirring up trouble.


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Botswana Democratic Party leader, and the country’s President-elect, Dr Mokgweetsi Masisi, says his government will prioritise service delivery, economic transformation and improvement of Botswana’s education system in his next five-year term.

Addressing a post-election media conference in Gaborone on Saturday, Masisi highlighted that the Botswana Democratic Party has been given an overwhelming mandate by the Batswana electorate.  The party obtained 38 of the 57 parliamentary seats up for grabs while the opposition managed only 19 seats.

The elections also dealt a blow to leaders of the opposition, all whom were rejected by the electorate in their respective constituencies.

Addressing a post-election media conference, Masisi thanked his supporters and the electorate for the party’s victory.  He also expressed satisfaction at how the polls were conducted.  “I think all parties really tried their best to go out and talk to people and it was done very transparently and without rancour or incident.”

 Masisi’s next administration will prioritise most of its promises to Batswana with a particular focus on improving their conditions of living.   ”They can expect enhanced delivery of services and see a structural alteration to our economy,” expressed Masisi.

 Masisi also plans to introduce a new minimum threshold for eligible public representatives.  The country’s education system is also up for an overhaul to make the country globally competitive.

“We have a plan in place. It is called the ETSSP, for a lack of a better expression, which is essentially is a plan to systematically improve our education system.”

 President-elect Masisi is expected to be inaugurated by the country’s Chief Justice in November 1, 2019 at the University of Botswana’s sports centre.

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Boeing Co on Friday promised to act on safety recommendations for its 737 MAX aircraft made in a new report by Indonesian investigators on the deadly Lion Air crash a year ago.

The company also voiced its grief over the October 29, 2018 crash after take off from Jakarta that killed all 189 people on board, a response that marked a shift in tone compared with its reaction to a preliminary report last November.

In a statement on Friday, Boeing Chief Executive Dennis Muilenburg outlined changes planned for the so-called MCAS cockpit software that has been widely linked to the accident and the crash of an Ethiopian Airlines jet five months later.

“We are addressing the (Indonesian accident agency) KNKT’s safety recommendations and taking actions to enhance the safety of the 737 MAX to prevent the flight control conditions that occurred in this accident from ever happening again,” he said.

The company’s previous statement, which included no comment from Boeing leaders and was viewed as clumsy by some family representatives, indirectly pointed the finger at Lion Air’s cockpit and ground crew by listing questions that the report hadn’t answered.

Senior aviation officials, speaking privately, as well as analysts and some Boeing insiders expressed surprise at the time, saying the statement tested the limits of a U.N.-backed agreement to prevent parties commenting on live investigations.

The rules against speaking out during investigations are usually strictly followed by all planemakers including Boeing.

“Boeing made a crucial misstep last year by attempting to deflect responsibility to third parties,” said Ronn Torossian, chief executive of New York PR firm 5WPR.

“The fact of the matter is, organizations that admit fault and actively work to solve issues always come out looking more favorable than those who place blame on others.”


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Botswana‘s Independent Electoral Commission says the counting of parliamentary votes is progressing well. Counting has been completed in five of the 57 constituencies, where the Umbrella for Democratic Change (UDC)  and the Botswana Democratic Party (BDP) have already registered victories.

This year’s elections are believed to be the most highly-contested in the history of the country.

Electoral Commission spokesperson Osupile Maroba says overall results, for both councils and parliamentary seats, will be released on Friday

“Where we are now, we have five seats, already having two political parties ahead of the rest. We have two seats won by the BDP already, and three seats won by the UDC.”

Watch video below for more on the elections: 


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President Cyril Ramaphosa says nuclear energy is on the agenda of the Russia-Africa summit, under way in the Russian city of Sochi.

47 African leaders are attending the summit.

Ahead of the summit which started on Thursday, Rwandan officials approved a deal with Russia to advance the use of nuclear energy.

President Ramaphosa says it’s also in the pipeline in South Africa.

“We’ve met with President Putin a few times and each time the issue of nuclear comes up and we’ve always been consistent in our answer that nuclear is a part of the repertoire of the energy mix that we are going to have as a country. As it is, we have nuclear in Koeberg. We’ve said to them very clearly that we will be able to embark on it at a time, at a pace, and at a cost that we can afford.”

Last week, Mineral Resources and Energy Minister Gwede Mantashe said there were plans to add two small nuclear plants to the energy mix.

He outlined the contents of the long-awaited Integrated Resource Plan (IRP).

Mantashe said the IRP 2019 would provide for the extension of the design life of Koeberg as well as the construction of additional new nuclear capacity in the future.

Cabinet has approved the promulgation of the plan, which provides a blueprint for the envisaged energy mix for the country until 2030.

There’s interest in the role nuclear and coal-sourced energy will play in the plan.

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Botswana’s Independent Electoral Commission (IEC) says it has completed counting of council votes and has now started with parliamentary votes. There seems to be a tight contest between Botswana Democratic Party and the Umbrella for Democratic Change in the council votes.

Botswana Chief Justice Terence Rannowane will announce the President-elect once one of the contesting parties reaches a threshold of 29 seats, with the overall results expected on Friday.

Botswana IEC Spokesperson, Osupile Maroba says they are waiting in anticipation.

“We wait in anticipation. We hope by the end of today, we should be having quite a number of them. If at all, they started at the same time yesterday. Some constituencies are very small, some constituencies are very big and they experienced very high turnout and those are the constituencies that would probably take us to maybe even tomorrow morning because counting itself is very slow. It’s manual,” explains Maroba.


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Nissan Motor Co Ltd is considering selling two of its European plants as the Japanese carmaker faces falling sales in the region and an industry shift toward electric cars, Bloomberg reported on Thursday, citing people familiar with the matter.

The carmaker is now reaching out to potential buyers for its factories in the UK and Spain, according to the report.

Nissan did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment.

Nissan is likely to axe its Datsun brand, drop some unprofitable products and close a number of assembly lines worldwide, as it seeks to boost profits by getting smaller, Reuters reported on Wednesday citing two company sources with direct knowledge of the matter.

All markets with factories except China were being looked at for possible reductions in production capacity, one of the sources told Reuters on Wednesday. However, there were no plans to close an entire plant or withdraw completely from any country, the source added.


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Botswana President Mokgweetsi Masisi has called on citizens who have registered to vote to exercise their right to vote. Masisi voted in his home village, Moshupa, outside the capital Gaborone.

He says his country prides itself on being a peaceful place, adding that he does not anticipate any glitches during the elections.

“Botswana has got a reputation for calmness, predictability in terms of conduct, stability. And it’s my firm belief as I’ve been informed that, that’s going on pretty well. I will hope people would bring themselves off the heat. As I’ve asked you to drink lots of water, wait patiently on the line, and cast their votes. This is the only time in five years, generally speaking, when we go for general election, that they get an opportunity to vote for a government of their choice.”

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The National Union of Metalworkers of South Africa (Numsa) has slammed the Eskom leadership for last week’s load shedding, describing it as economic sabotage. Numsa says the Eskom board and executive management deliberately mismanaged the power utility to justify their plans to privatise it.

Although Eskom says no load shedding is expected on Wednesday, it says the electricity system remains constrained and vulnerable and any unexpected shift such as unplanned breakdowns could result in load shedding at short notice.

Numsa spokesperson Phakamile Hlubi says they also reject the narrative that Independent Power Producers have any future role to play in the country’s energy mix. “As things stand, they’re unable to assist us during load shedding, and to make matters worse, they’re very costly to Eskom. We are once again repeating our demand for the entire Eskom board, including and especially Jabu Mabuza, to be removed because he does not know, and they do not know what they’re doing, and they’re deliberately destroying Eskom as a result.”

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President Cyril Ramaphosa has welcomed what he terms Russia’s commitment to deepening its engagement with Africa. This is after Russian President Vladimir Putin said that his country wanted to double its trade with the continent in the next five years.

On Ramaphosa’s visit, deals worth billions of dollars are expected to be signed in the fields of nuclear energy, mining, oil, gas and agriculture.

Ramaphosa held bi-lateral talks with his Russian counterpart.

“Appreciate your effort in bringing together all these African countries. Obviously, the platform that we are utilising is economic development and we appreciate that as Africa being part of the effort- the Africa Free Trade area presents an opportunity for African countries to participate with Russia in a meaningful way.”


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Mozambique’s President Filipe Nyusi is heading for a landslide victory in elections, according to a preliminary estimate by an observer group on Monday, in a contest the opposition claims has been tarnished by “mega fraud.” Based on data from almost 2 500 polling stations out of a total of more than 20 000, the Electoral Institute for Sustainable Democracy in Africa (EISA) estimates Nyusi will win 70.9% of the vote.

Though official results have yet to be announced, but former guerrilla movement turned main opposition party Renamo has already rejected the outcome, decrying irregularities in the process from voter registration through to counting.

Perceived fraud and an unhappy Renamo, threaten a fragile peace accord signed just months ago between its presidential candidate, Ossufo Momade and Nyusi.

EISA programme officer Domingos Rosario said that during its count, the institute found that in many polling stations across seven different provinces, the number of votes greatly exceeded the number of voters registered at that station.

The official count for the 15 October presidential, provincial and legislative poll, which will decide who controls a nation on the cusp of becoming a top global gas exporter; is still on-going. A spokesperson for the Electoral Administration Technical Secretariat did not respond to multiple requests for comment.

Two-thirds of polling stations have been processed, representing just over 36% of the more than 13 million potential ballots from registered voters, according to data on the electoral commission’s website, which has barely changed since Sunday.

So far, Nyusi has taken 74.6% of the presidential vote versus 20.2% for his main rival, Renamo candidate Ossufo Momade, the website shows.

EISA estimates Momade will end up with around 21.4% of the vote while Daviz Simango, of smaller rival the Mozambique Democratic Movement, will secure 6.9%, Rosario told a news conference.

Renamo and Nyusi’s party, the ruling Frelimo, fought on opposite sides of a 16-year civil war that ended in a truce in 1992, but the former foes have clashed sporadically since.

The pact was meant to bring a formal and definitive end to four decades of violence between the two, shoring up Mozambique’s stability just before blockbuster gas projects in the gas-rich north led by the likes of Exxon Mobil Corp and Total take off.

Instead, it is at risk of collapse as tensions rise.

Nyusi and Frelimo, which has controlled Mozambique since independence from Portugal in 1975, were widely expected to win the election, but not by such a significant margin.

Frelimo spokesperson Caifadine Manasse said Renamo regularly complains about elections, despite being part of all the electoral bodies and having delegates at voting stations.

“Renamo is not serious about democracy,” he said.


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Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberals held onto power after a closely fought election on Monday, but were reduced to a minority government that will need the support in Parliament of a smaller left-leaning party. The vote showed a deeply divided country with the defeated Conservatives winning the popular vote, while a resurgent separatist Bloc Quebecois made big strides in the mainly French-speaking province of Quebec.

The Liberals had won or were leading in 156 out of 338 seats in Monday’s vote, according to Elections Canada. That put the Liberals far short of the 170 seats needed for a second straight majority government.

“You did it, my friends. Congratulations,” Trudeau told supporters in Montreal early on Tuesday, speaking as his main opponents were giving concession speeches.

Trudeau, who took power in 2015 as a charismatic figure promising “sunny ways,” saw his popularity drop over old photos of him in blackface and his handling of a corporate corruption case. He will now have to rely on the New Democratic Party (NDP) to push through key legislation.

Although the NDP had a disappointing night, with the 24 seats it had won or was leading in down sharply from the 2015 election when it won 44, the party could exercise significant influence over Trudeau’s next government.

“I think a Liberal government supported by the NDP is likely going to lean farther left,” said John Manley, a former Liberal finance minister who now works in the private sector. “It raises a series of issues about what are the demands that an NDP party would make. What’s the price of governing going to be? I think businesses are going to be reluctant to make any moves until they get some satisfaction around that.”

NDP leader Jagmeet Singh said he had spoken with Trudeau and told him his party would be “working hard to deliver on making sure we deliver the priorities that Canadians have.”

Minority governments in Canada rarely last more than 2-1/2 years.

Ahead of the vote, opinion polls showed a tight race between Trudeau and his main rival, Conservative leader Andrew Scheer.

“Tonight we have put him on notice,” Scheer said in Regina, Saskatchewan, of Trudeau. “His leadership is damaged and his government will end soon and when that time comes, we will be ready and we will win. We are the government in waiting,” added Scheer, 40, whose party won 122 seats.

Trudeau, 47, who has championed diversity as prime minister, was endorsed by former United States President Barack Obama in the final stretch of the campaign and is viewed as one of the last remaining progressive leaders among the world’s major democracies. But the son of the late Liberal Prime Minister Pierre Trudeau also had to overcome a sense of fatigue with his government.

US President Donald Trump, whose relationship with Trudeau has been testy at times, congratulated him “on a wonderful and hard fought victory” via Twitter.

The Bloc Quebecois saw its support jump in Quebec, the only place where the separatist party contests elections. It was elected or ahead in 32 seats, more than three times what the party won in 2015.

“Dear Quebecers, I heard your message tonight,” said Trudeau, who also addressed voters in two western provinces where Liberals were shut out of seats. “To Canadians in Alberta and Saskatchewan, know that you are an essential part of our great country. I’ve heard your frustration and I want to be there to support you. Let us all work hard to bring our country together.”

The Greens, who have assailed Trudeau for not doing enough to combat climate change, also made gains on Monday.

The Canadian dollar was little changed after the Liberal win, holding at near three-month highs.

“Markets don’t like uncertainty so it will all depend on what coalition they can come up with and how sustainable that will become,” said Greg Taylor, portfolio manager at Purpose Investments in Toronto.  The bigger problem is it seems that Canadians have never been more divided and the next government really needs to work to correct that. Alberta is at risk of a broader separatist movement and that would be a major negative for Canada.”

WESTERN ANGER

Two Liberal Cabinet ministers lost their seats in western Canada, including veteran Ralph Goodale, the public safety minister. Anger at Trudeau has mounted in the oil-producing region over federal environmental policies that the energy industry says will harm output.

The oil industry’s top lobbying group has blamed Trudeau’s policies for throttling investment in the sector, and some global energy companies have shed assets in the oil sands region of Alberta, the country’s main oil-producing province.

Canada’s economy, however, has been on a general upswing in 2019. The Canadian dollar has been the best-performing G10 currency in 2019, rising more than 4% against its US counterpart, as the economy added jobs at a robust pace and inflation stayed closed to the Bank of Canada’s 2% target.

The six-week official campaign period was a rough and meandering ride with dirty tactics on both sides in the G7 country.

The liberal image of Trudeau, whose father opened the country to mass immigration, took a severe blow when pictures emerged early in the campaign of him wearing blackface in the early 1990s and in 2001.

Trudeau had already been wrestling with the fallout from accusations he pressured his justice minister to help shield engineering firm SNC-Lavalin Group Inc from corruption charges. In August, a top watchdog said Trudeau breached ethics rules.

Scheer also proved to be a determined opponent, although his hopes for a major breakthrough were dashed.

He had promised to balance the federal budget and eliminate a “carbon tax” on fossil fuels.

“The Tories made a fundamental mistake by being opposed to the carbon tax,” said Hugh Segal, who was chief of staff to former Conservative Prime Minister Brian Mulroney.

“I’ve often heard it said the worst mistake a party can make is to get sucked into its own low expectations of the population,” he said.


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For the first time since it won independence from Britain in 1966, Botswana faces a genuine electoral contest on Wednesday, as a feud between its current and a former president throws one of Africa’s most stable nations into uncertainty.

The Botswana Democratic Party, in power since independence day, faces an unusually tough parliamentary vote, after the country’s former president and political heavyweight Ian Khama fell out bitterly with his hand-picked successor, President Mokgweetsi Masisi, earlier this year.

There is no clear winner in sight and little to distinguish the contestants on policy. But whichever party wins will inherit the unenviable task of tackling high unemployment, inequality and over-reliance on dwindling diamonds, which turned Botswana into one of Africa’s wealthiest nations but cannot lift living standards forever.

Khama, the son of founding president Seretse Khama, has thrown his weight behind an opposition coalition led by human rights lawyer Duma Boko. The outcome of Wednesday’s vote will also determine who becomes president.

“We are putting an end to this misrule by the BDP. We want our people to be more empowered and to enjoy more of this country’s economic opportunities,” Boko told a news conference on Thursday, promising to create 100,000 jobs, raise the minimum wage and grow the economy by more than 6 percent a year.

Since freeing itself of its former colonizer, Botswana has bucked the trend on a continent often beset by post-independence civil conflict, autocratic leadership, and the squandering of natural resources by elites.

It has enjoyed peaceful, regular elections, and its vast diamond wealth, instead of fuelling war and rampant state theft, has been judiciously spent on free education and health.

The result: after decades of growth averaging 8 percent a year, per capital Gross Domestic Product is more than $8,000 — eight times that of Zimbabwe, five times Zambia, and about two thirds more than Namibia, its neighbors.

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Hong Kong’s businesses will likely foot the bill for vandalism inflicted over the past four months during the territories most violent protests in living memory as few of them bought insurance coverage for riot damage, industry insiders said.

Businesses big and small have suffered smashed windows, graffiti and even fire for their perceived support of mainland China by activists concerned that the central government in Beijing is exerting increased control over the special administrative region at the cost of democratic freedoms.

Displaying a banner in support of the police – who protesters have complained of being heavy-handed – was enough to see a small video game shop in western New Territories vandalized four times this month.

“I don’t know whether I’ll get insurance compensation,” said shop owner K.K. Man. “There’s a chance that I won’t get compensation because the damage is due to social unrest… I don’t think riot damage is covered.”

While businesses flood insurers with claims for such damage, few are likely to be fully compensated as Hong Kong insurance usually protects against events such as fire and natural disasters, such as typhoons.

Coverage for civil unrest, particularly for small and mid-sized firms, is uncommon, industry insiders said.

Hong Kong is a lucrative market for global insurers including American International Group Inc, AXA SA and Zurich Insurance Group AG, with the value of premiums as a percentage of gross domestic product at 18.16%, second only to Taiwan in the Asia-Pacific region.

Total insurance premium volume in the territory last year rose 8.3% to $66 billion, the quickest growth rate in the advanced Asia-Pacific region that includes Australia, Japan and Singapore, a Swiss Re study showed.

Near term, Hong Kong insurers expect a surge in demand for coverage that includes riot damage, though profit is likely to suffer from pay-outs for event cancellations, a drop in demand for travel insurance and, more generally, economic downturn.

“Overall financial damage from these events will be quite significant and neither insurers nor most of the businesses would have prepared for something like this,” said an insurance sector lawyer with a global law firm.

“So you will see a sharp rise in litigation around what’s covered and what’s not, as well as pressure on earnings of insurance companies because of a surge in claim settlements and a drop in premium income,” the lawyer said.

The financial impact of the protests could not be determined with unrest ongoing, but two insurance executives said liabilities for insurers could run into millions of dollars.

The executives and the lawyer declined to be identified due to the sensitivity of the matter.

UNLUCKY

Anti-government demonstrations have taken place on almost every weekend since June 9. On Sunday, riot police and protesters exchanged tear gas and petrol bombs as an illegal march descended into chaos, with hundreds of shops trashed and Chinese banks and metro stations targeted.

Retailer Best Mart 360 Holdings Ltd on Wednesday said as of October 13, 59 of its stores had suffered damage during protests.

“The Group is discussing and handling with its insurance company,” it said. “In the event that the insurance company refuses to compensate or inadequately compensates its claims, the Group may be required to bear the corresponding economic losses.”

Best Mart did not identify its insurer or elaborate on why compensation might be refused. An external spokeswoman for the retailer declined to comment beyond the statement.

Damage to subway stations of operator MTR Corp Ltd may not be fully covered by its insurance, and its inability to recover such costs is likely to weaken its credit profile, credit-rating firm Moody’s Investors Service said last week.

MTR declined to comment.

“Hong Kong property insurers have been making a profit for 20 years, but following two super typhoons in the past two years, they lost all 20 years’ worth of profit,” said a non-life insurance broker in Hong Kong.

“That’s why in 2019 they have been extra prudent in covering property,” the broker said. “Luckily there’s been no big typhoon this year, but the unlucky thing is there have been riots.”


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Somalia will press ahead with poverty reduction efforts and a major regional ports and corridors initiative if international creditors forgive the country’s $5 billion debt this February, as expected, the country’s finance minister said on Sunday.

Finance Minister Abdirahman Duale Beileh said he was heartened by progress made during discussions with officials from the United States, Somalia’s biggest creditor, Britain, and others during the IMF/World Bank annual meetings this past week.

“Things are looking up … Everybody was positive,” Beileh told Reuters in an interview. He said US and other officials were pleased with Somalia’s strong performance in hitting key benchmarks in a program to work toward debt forgiveness.

International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva on Saturday pledged the IMF’s full support for Somalia’s push for debt relief in the “near future.”

The African nation has about $4.7 billion in external debt, which the IMF has declared to be unsustainable. The Fund is analyzing the exact grants needed from members to address Somalia’s debt arrears ahead of a board meeting in mid-November, Beileh said.

Britain, the European Union and Qatar had offered to cover about $150 million of the roughly $330 million that Somalia owes the IMF, he said.

The US Treasury, which is owed $1 billion by Somalia, had played a role in encouraging support from other IMF members, and was in talks with Congress about steps needed to erase the big bilateral debt pile.

“They were very skeptical when our government started, but now they are saying Somalia has traveled enough,” he said.

Once it obtains debt relief, Somalia is negotiating to receive grants worth about $300 million per year for the next three years, Beileh said.

That will allow it to start spending on projects to reduce poverty by improving education and healthcare, shoring up water and electricity supply and investing in other critical infrastructure projects, he said.

After 30 years with little international support, Somalia has needs “on every corner,” he said. “The country is in bad shape, and that is an understatement. You name it, we need it.”

Beileh said Somalia was also working with neighbors Kenya, Eritrea, Ethiopia and Djibouti on a five-year, $15 billion project to establish ports and transportation corridors.

Backed by the EU, the African Development Bank and the World Bank, the project will help boost trade in the region, he said.

“Somalia is very committed to doing its part. I think we really have turned the corner. And when people are committed, they will do miracles,” he said.


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Several Free State municipalities are on the brink of financial collapse due to mounting debts running into billions of rand. Municipalities in the province owe water boards almost R4 billion.

The Eskom debt stands at more than R10-billion.

In the Mangaung Metro alone, the debt balance from government, business and households, is more than R4-billion.

Free State Cooperative Governance head, Mokete Duma says the prevailing situation is concerning.

“The issue of revenue enhancement and collection is a serious challenge. We’ve made our own analysis, as the department. For instance, just to cite an example, in one municipality you will find that the bill says R10 million and when you check at what they are able to collect. More often than not, it’s less than R2 million. So, it’s a very serious challenge because the collection ranges between 13% to sometimes, when they are lucky 20%. So, who must then fund 80% that is there?”


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UK lawmakers on Saturday afternoon voted for Oliver Letwin proposals, forcing Prime Minister Boris Johnson towards a Brexit delay.

Letwin put forward a proposal to withhold support for Johnson’s Brexit deal until formal ratification legislation has passed. He said he would support that legislation when the government puts it forward.

He said it was not responsible for Johnson to threaten a choice between his Brexit deal and a no-deal.

“We cannot be sure that such a threat from the prime minister would work. I, despite my support for the prime minister’s deal, do not believe that it is responsible to put the nation at risk by making that threat.”

Meanwhile, anti-Brexit protesters on Saturday used a bizarre array of humour to lampoon Britain’s leaders, casting Johnson’s chief adviser as a manipulating devil behind a divorce that was the work of a privileged few.

The battle over Brexit spilt onto the streets of London when hundreds of thousands of people gathered to demand a new referendum while lawmakers decided the fate of Britain’s departure from the European Union.

Many turned to sometimes risqué British humour.

Dominic Cummings, cast by his enemies variously as the puppet master of Brexit, Britain’s Rasputin or a political vandal, was made into a giant effigy of the devil, complete with horns and manipulating his boss, Johnson.

“Demonic Cummings” was scrawled across the head of the effigy, pulled by protesters, some with berets sporting the stars of the European flag.

Another placard said: ‘I didn’t vote for Dominic Cummings’.

Other targets were the privileged financial backers of Brexit.

“Brexit is a billionaire con,” read one banner. “Brexit = Disaster Capitalism” read another.

Under the slogan “Eton Mess” one placard showed former Prime Minister David Cameron and Johnson, both of whom studied at Britain’s most privileged school – Eton College. They were cast as Horror and Lardy in the pose of Laurel and Hardy, complete with bowler hats.

In 2016, 17.4 million voters, or 52%, backed Brexit while 16.1 million, or 48%, backed staying in the EU. Both campaigns were supported by wealthy backers.

Sex, of course, was one topic employed on Saturday, as peculiarly, were vegetables and fruit.

“Brexit is like consent – we can change our minds during foreplay,” read one placard. “Pulling out never works,” read another.

One man was dressed as broccoli while another was dressed as a banana with a sign: “We are ripe for change.”


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Arlette Kavugho was discharged from an Ebola ward in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) in March, but her troubles did not end there. When the mother of six tried to return to work as a seamstress in her hometown of Butembo, her customers were too scared of catching the disease, despite doctors’ assurances that she was no longer contagious.

Instead, she found work as a caregiver to children suspected of having Ebola, only to be accused by neighbours of faking her illness to get the job.

To this day, Kavugho has not been able to find the graves of her 19-year-old daughter and two-month-old granddaughter, who died of Ebola while she was receiving treatment and were hastily buried to avoid any further contamination.

“I try to find the dates on the crosses that may coincide with their deaths but I always come back empty-handed,” the 40-year old said softly as she clung to a picture of her daughter with the word “adieu” written alongside.

As of October, more than 1 000 people have survived the 14-month Ebola outbreak in the DRC, the world’s second-deadliest, helped by new medicines that have proven effective against the virus when administered early.

More than 3 200 people are known to have been infected with the virus, of whom more than 2 100 have died since the outbreak was declared in the eastern region.

The survivors, who call themselves “les vainqueurs,” French for “the victorious,” however, struggle to return to their former lives as they deal with the fear of relapse, long-term health issues like blurry vision and headaches and stigmatisation by their families and neighbours.

Vianey Kombi, 31, was a maths teacher when he contracted Ebola in November 2018. Like Kavugho, he found it impossible to return to his former job and now cares for Ebola patients.

“It hurts when I walk past the school where I was teaching and the children who recognise me start screaming in my direction: Ebola, Ebola,” Kombi said. “We have all been accused of receiving money to say that we had Ebola. It hurts a lot when your community treats you as corrupt after you’ve been at your sickest.”

GIVING BACK

Accusations like this are common in eastern DRC, where many residents see the outbreak as a money-making scheme made up by the government and outside organisations.

“I was even accused of having received money to bring people from my community to the treatment centre, to kill them with the virus and then sell their organs abroad,” said Moise Vaghemi, 33, who survived Ebola in August.

Mistrust and armed attacks against medical staff have slowed efforts to stamp out the epidemic. Even so, health authorities say survivors play a vital role in their communities by showing that Ebola can be overcome.

Some say they draw strength from returning to treatment centres to work as caregivers for children with Ebola, many of whom have lost parents and siblings to the disease.

The antibodies developed during their illness mean they can spend entire days with patients wearing only partial protective gear and not the stifling head-to-toe suits donned by doctors and nurses.

In Katwa, outside of Butembo, Noella Masika, wearing blue scrubs, a surgical mask and a hair net, bathed a 1-year-old girl suspected of having Ebola in a small plastic bucket. Masika lost 17 family members to Ebola, including both parents and two grandparents, but she counts herself fortunate to have survived.

“I feel compassionate and grateful for the care I received,” she said. “I feel an obligation to contribute to the fight against Ebola.”


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The South African National Editors’ Forum (SANEF) on Friday hosted its annual fundraising dinner to commemorate the anniversary of Black Wednesday.

Saturday, 19 October 2019 marks 42 years since Black Wednesday, which saw the banning of several prominent South African newspapers, the arrest and subsequent torture of numerous editors and journalists, and the banning of 19 black consciousness organisations.

Kuben Naidoo, Deputy Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, says Black Wednesday marks one of the darkest days for media freedom in the history of South Africa.

Naidoo was a keynote speaker at the dinner and gave the following speech:

As Glenda Daniels wrote in a piece marking the 40th anniversary of Black Wednesday: “Nothing as violent as this has occurred since 1994. But today, the media is a murky, ambivalent and contested space marred by political interference, commercial imperatives and depleted newsrooms.”

Carefully chosen words, ‘the media is a murky, ambivalent and contested space marred by political interference, commercial imperatives and depleted newsrooms’. As with so much in South Africa since 1994, our world has become much more complex and the old dichotomies have broken down. Apartheid was universally accepted as evil and so fighting apartheid was universally accepted as good. There was a clear right and a clear wrong, a visible enemy and a tangible end goal. We were guided by a singular vision of creating a non-racial, non-sexist, democratic and prosperous South Africa. We knew who was on which side of the struggle.

Today, our country flounders in a volatile ocean without such a North Star, without a clear sense of good and evil, and without an understanding of who is on which side of the fence.

Unfortunately, this has become the new normal. Life will never be as simple as it was during the struggle, and our country may never again produce leaders of the likes of Mandela, Tambo, Sisulu, Kathrada, Helen Joseph, Lilian Ngoyi or Bram Fisher. That is a bygone era. We’re on our own, trying to make our way in this new, much more daunting world.

In this murkiness, each of us must grapple with issues of integrity. What does it truly mean today? I believe that, in this singular term, we will find our direction again. It should become our new North Star.

In many ways, the media and central banks struggle with the same dance: the need for independence balanced by the need to be held accountable to society. Journalists’ integrity rests on the need to be independent of political interference and commercial imperatives, at the same time holding public trust through being accountable for what they say, write, publish or broadcast. Similarly, central banks seek to be independent from political and commercial interference while holding the trust of the public through being open, transparent, impartial and accountable. Neither of us, journalists nor central banks, are in a popularity contest. It is our responsibility to tell the truth, in all its gory detail. Hence, our social licence to operate depends not on our popularity but on our integrity.

This battle for independence while being trusted by society occurs in an environment of mind-boggling complexity. There are commercial pressures, political noise and the all-important societal context within which South Africa finds itself in today – the ‘baggage’ we all carry, as a nation, so to speak. Added to this is rapid technological change which democratises the media while simultaneously lowering standards. This technological advance makes it easier and quicker to communicate, to tell stories, and to share an experience or a narrative, but it also makes it harder to distil truth from fiction. Seeking truth and facts has become that much harder.

At this point in time, let me opine that I think you have a tougher job than I do. Maintaining journalistic integrity in today’s world is harder than safeguarding an independent central bank. There is only one central bank per country, and with some effort and careful institutional design, we can try to maintain our independence while still creating mechanisms for society to hold us accountable. We still require integrity, though.

In your case, there are multiple platforms: from print to the Internet, from radio to television, dozens of large media groups, hundreds of smaller ones, and literally tens of thousands of individuals plying their trade, some with only the pretence of being a journalist in the true sense of the word. Designing the correct institutional mechanisms for independence and accountability in your context is just so much harder.

I am paid by an institution, a central bank, that literally prints money. You are paid by firms better known for burning cash than for making it. We central bankers have a fairly detailed, though perhaps untested, mechanism for dealing with a rogue or errant central banker. Your industry is much more prone to rogue elements or rogue journalists breaching journalistic ethics codes. It is much harder to prove beyond a reasonable doubt that a journalist has breached their ethical code than in my world.

So let me admit upfront that I have a few pieces of advice for you on how to do your job, including your job of maintaining the highest ethical standards in journalism.

But first, let me set out the case for an independent central bank in our country and in our context. Central bankers deal with what we call a ‘time-inconsistency problem’, meaning that the actions we take today have different, sometimes even opposite, effects today compared to the effects in the future. Central banks are almost unique in that respect. Actions that we take today to boost the economy may have the opposite effects in the future. Similarly, the constraints imposed today may allow for higher living standards in the future. Very few institutions have this problem.

We believe that we do not have the ability to boost long-run growth; we can only intervene to smooth out the cycles in the economy. Long-run growth is determined outside of a central bank. Similarly, in your world, you can only tell the stories, analyse the news, and make comment. You cannot make up facts. Facts are not made by you; they are made outside of the newsroom.

In a democracy, elected governments have fiscal powers. They have the right to levy taxes, to spend public resources, and to borrow if need be. In theory, there is almost no constraint on these powers. Politicians are incentivised to maximise benefits in the near future, sometimes the very near future. They are, by design, incentivised to borrow from tomorrow for the benefit of citizens today. The future taxpayers who have to pay back that debt are sometimes not even born yet, and most probably have no vote or voice in our political system.

This is probably the same reason why most politicians cannot respond appropriately to climate change, since responding appropriately imposes costs on citizens today for the benefit of tomorrow. Markets are similarly incapable of solving this time-inconsistency problem.

Back to central banking. Not all countries have independent central banks, but most democracies do have them. And they have them because without such an institutional mechanism, politicians would want too much of a good thing for today’s voters at the expense of tomorrow’s voters. And it’s not just governments in this equation. Citizens, too, can legitimately borrow to finance benefits today, in some cases long-term benefits, but in many cases they are provided with a benefit today at a cost tomorrow. A house or a good education, or even a car to commute with, is a justifiable expense because it raises both today’s and tomorrow’s living standards. But many other expenses – my shirt, the watch I wear, the dinner I eat at night – provide only transitory benefits, and if the expense is financed from borrowings, then, by definition, it lowers my living standards in the future.

Central banks don’t stand directly in the way of these politicians. Neither do we stand in the way of you swiping your credit card for a night out at the Saxon, for example. Central banks merely set the price at which you or your government can finance today’s goods at the expense of tomorrow’s. In theory, the market could fulfil this function without a central bank, putting up the price of credit when the amount of credit demanded rises above the savings rate. And some, if not many, interest rates are indeed set by efficient markets. But markets themselves cannot solve the time-inconsistency problem.

Similarly, as journalists you do not stand in the way of injustice or malfeasance. You ‘merely’ shine a light on it, bringing to the fore the costs of such actions.

The role of the central bank, in general, is a disciplining one. It brings forward, in an open and transparent manner, a part of the cost of borrowing from tomorrow. It makes the trade-offs more stark, so that everyone can see the cost in today’s prices. As I’ve said earlier, this is not a popularity contest.

If central banks did not play this role, or if this role was unduly influenced by a political cycle, we would perhaps have lower interest rates before an election and higher interest rates after. A former Governor, Gerhard de Kock, operating in a time without central bank independence, once lowered rates before an election only to raise them soon after. President Nixon is famous for calling a central bank governor to remind him of the upcoming election and the need for some economic stimulus in the run-up to the election. The term ‘quantity easing’ had not been coined yet, but you get the point.

Democracy brings freedoms, but it also requires disciplining institutions – institutions that tell the truth without fear or favour. This is your task too: to bring reality and facts to light in order to balance our freedoms.

Besides facing the time-inconsistency problem and the risk of being prone to political cycles, central banks also mediate between borrowers and savers in a society. In many countries, the power of these two groupings is not equal. In South Africa, which is a savings-constrained economy, the power of borrowers is bigger than that of savers. In some countries, Germany for example, the power of savers exceeds the power of borrowers. Markets do not always play an impartial mediating role in this complex relationship. Central banks are supposed to be the honest brokers in this relationship, respected because of their integrity and competence rather than being popular or well-liked.

As already mentioned, not all countries have independent central banks. Countries without an electoral democracy do not need this kind of discipline because there are no elections and politicians are not incentivised to deliver short-term gains at the expense of the long term. Don’t get me wrong. I would rather have the freedoms in our democracy than the alternative. But that, in some ways, is my point. With freedom comes the responsibility to construct institutions which limit our freedom to do as we please. Such a construct is itself important in sustaining democracy.

A free and respected media with integrity is similarly central to safeguarding democracy. But it, too, must be subject to a certain degree of discipline. Ethics codes, standards for journalistic integrity, a press ombud and the rule of law are all mechanisms to discipline the media to play their essential role in safeguarding democracy.

The concept of a free and credible media enjoys widespread public support. Even if some politicians observe it only in the breach, at least they all argue publicly for a free and independent media. You are fortunate in this regard. But don’t take this privilege for granted; it comes on the shoulders of those journalists arrested and tortured 42 years ago.

As for central bankers, we still have to fight the fight for an independent central bank in the court of public opinion. It is because, like journalists, we love democracy and cherish its freedoms, that we fight for independent institutions to safeguard our democracy.

As important as the role of a free press was in the struggle for democracy, it is not a sufficient condition for good governance. Kenya and Nigeria are good examples of countries with a free and thriving media sometimes operating in a context characterised by corruption and weak governance.

In addition to a free press, we need something else to secure good governance: accountability. In our case as a central bank, we recognise the need to be held accountable by society for our actions. I would even posit that, as a society, we have been poorly served by our Parliament in holding the central bank accountable. In my seven years at the South African Reserve Bank, we’ve actually had to ask Parliament to call us to account. And when we are called to Parliament, many MPs focus on political grandstanding rather than holding us accountable for our actions.

The media is not a single, homogenous entity, so it cannot be held accountable in the same manner as central banks are. Accountability to society is, by its nature, an ill-defined concept anyway. Accountable to whom, when and how? You rely, rightly so, on internal processes, a press council and a press ombud to support this role. These institutions are working better today than in days gone by, but this is still not optimal. As our politics became more corrupt in the past decade or so, both business and the media have been sucked in, to the detriment of the reputation and standing of the industry.

SANEF has the dual role of vigorously protecting the independence and freedom of the media while simultaneously holding the industry accountable to society. This is the correct role, and a laudable one, but it’s by no means an easy one. I do believe that you need to do more work on defining how the media is held accountable by society, as vague and amorphous as this concept may seem.

The economics of the media have changed fundamentally over the past decade. News is a commodity and, in general, freely available. I started using Twitter during the Oscar Pistorius trial. I was hooked. I could get up-to-the-second news of what was happening in court, and it cost me nothing. Similarly, I once read an article on the Internet, of 26 000 words, in the New Yorker magazine on the Church of Scientology. It was an excellent article, which took almost a year to investigate and write. I wondered how much it would have cost to put such an article together and how the magazine could afford this when many people could get the article on the net for free.

How do we sustain an independent media with integrity when the economics of news and the media are changing so drastically? With great difficulty, I assume. No one can be sure of what the future holds for the media industry, in particular for news, analysis, opinions and editorials. Perhaps news organisations will become like symphony orchestras. The economics would never justify their existence, but a combination of sales, philanthropic donations and public funding would sustain smaller but sizeable centres of excellence. Society recognises the media as a public good.

I have to watch this space closely because my industry may well be similarly disrupted. At present, we derive our power from the ability to produce money, either physically or electronically. We manage a foundational piece of the national payments system, and we issue licences to institutions able to take deposits of this money that we’ve produced. But what if the production of a currency becomes as democratised as a newsfeed on Twitter? Virtual currencies, with parallel and diffused payments systems bypassing banks, could render central bankers completely useless.

So we can learn from you about the disruptive effects of technology and about rapid change in the economics of an industry. We may well need your advice in a few years’ time when trying to manage these complex changes.

Let me conclude by going back to the issue I began with, the issue of integrity. A cynic would say that there will always be journalists with a political or factional agenda. That there will always be media houses with less editorial independence than is deemed appropriate. That there will always be brown envelopes and character assassinations for political or commercial reasons.

We must, however, rise above such cynicism and continue to advance an agenda of free speech, journalistic integrity, and accountability to society. And, like central banks, we’ve got to fight these fights in the court of public opinion, not just in courtrooms or newsrooms.

It is a fight you can only win if you stand firm to the highest standards of integrity and hold yourself accountable to society, in its broadest sense. Technological change makes our lives harder but potentially more interesting too. Popularity is not your goal; it‘s your opium. Keep telling it like it is. Democracy sorely needs an independent and respected media.

Thank you.


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Swiss federal prosecutors have found oil trading firm Gunvor Group criminally liable for corruption in Republic of Congo and Ivory Coast, ordering it to pay almost 94 million Swiss francs ($94.8 million), the Swiss Attorney General’s Office said on Thursday.

The settlement includes a fine of 4 million Swiss francs, out of a maximum of 5 million, as well as gross profits plus interest the company gained from its oil deals in the two west African countries in 2009-2011 worth hundreds of millions of dollars.

“The Geneva commodities trader has been convicted of failing to take all the organisational measures that were reasonable and necessary to prevent its employees and agents from bribing public officials in order to gain access to the petroleum markets in the Republic of Congo and Ivory Coast,” a statement from the Swiss Attorney General’s Office said.

Gunvor, one of the world’s top energy traders, said there was “no conscious or desired involvement of employees or members of management in these activities.”

It added that no current employees or businesses of Gunvor Group were involved in any related on-going litigation or investigations.

The Attorney General (AG) began a money laundering probe in late 2011 into unknown individuals that gradually grew over the years. It began investigating Gunvor as a company for organisational deficiencies in 2017.

A former employee, Pascal Collard, signed a plea deal in 2018 in which he admitted paying bribes to win contracts for the firm. He said senior management was fully aware and approved the transactions, according to a Swiss prosecution document.

As a result of the payments, Gunvor secured a three-year oil supply contract from Congo state oil firm SNPC in June 2010 and signed two deals to make prepayments for oil cargoes with SNPC worth $125 million and $500 million in July 2011. The firm also received Ivory Coast oil cargoes between 2009 and 2010.

The bribe recipients, according to the plea deal, included Congolese President Denis Sassou Nguesso, his family members and former senior Ivory Coast government officials. The Congo government denied the allegations.

In an interview, Gunvor’s chief executive Torbjorn Tornqvist said the process “was very painful…I promised my employees, stakeholders and my family that we will never find ourselves in this position again.”

Swiss prosecutors said Gunvor had no code of conduct, compliance or sufficient oversight at the time. The firm has since built up a compliance scheme and reduced the number of intermediaries and agents it uses to secure deals by a third.

The settlement amounts to about 3% of total trading profits for the firm between 2009-2011, Gunvor said. The firm already put aside funds in 2018 in case of a financial settlement with Swiss authorities.

Gunvor today conducts only 4% of its business within African countries and has no business in Congo.


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Finance Minister Tito Mboweni has raised concerns over the lack of policy implementation by the government. He says this is a major constraint to the country’s growth prospects.

Mboweni is due to present the final draft of his economic strategy paper when he tables the Medium Term Budget Policy Statement.

Mboweni convened his third colloquium on the state of the South African Economy to finalise the recently released document. The colloquium has brought together government, business, and academia to discuss ways of growing the economy.

The paper entitled –  ‘Economic Transformation, Inclusive Growth and Competitiveness: Towards an Economic Strategy for South Africa’, was released in August for public comment. According to Mboweni, Treasury received around 740 comments on the paper.  He further explained that the document paper was presented before the ANC NEC Lekgotla and a Cabinet Lekgotla for comment.

“One of the things I have learned over the years is that you need political buy-in. If you think you can just parachute policy from somewhere without political buy-in, then you are wasting your time, which most think tanks do not understand because at the end of the day, policy is politics.”

However, the final draft will only consider comments that are consistent with government departments’ policy framework.

Mboweni says implementing at least 30% of the policy that is needed for growth would make a positive difference in the economy.

“One of the biggest constraints to economic growth in South Africa is lack of implementation about things that were decided upon. If we at least implement 30% of the things we said we would implement then we would be making great progress.”

WATCH VIDEO BELOW: 


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Mozambique is getting closer to knowing who won Tuesday’s poll. Preliminary results from different voting stations are being tallied.  Preliminary results will be officially released on Thursday.

It is business as usual in Maputo after an election that was marked with a few hiccups.

Despite all that, 42 year old Ellisa Maita says she hopes her vote will translate into a better life for her. She makes a living selling teddy bears on the busy streets of Baixa. “I voted yesterday (Tuesday) with the hope that there will be positive change and for my business to do well.”

Observers say elections were conducted well and authorities should bring to book those that killed a local observer in Xai Xai.  They believe the minor challenges witnessed will not affect the outcome of the results.

“Let us use the opportunity to commend the people of Mozambique for coming out in large numbers to vote. We appreciate the effort of the country, of course we know the political history of this country, we just met with other observer missions, and yes there are some cases where there were some minor incidences observed but not very much.  It doesn’t spread across so we believe it won’t affect the general outcome of the results. We have observed that the election was well conducted and we haven’t witnessed incidents besides just a few arguments. Even other commissions have reported and expressed satisfaction,” says African Union Observer Missions Head Goodluck Jonathan.

In the Northern part of Cabo Delgado, seven voting stations were not open at all due to insurgency. In Maputo interim results from different voting stations have been made public but the Mozambican Electoral Commission will officially announce interim results on Thursday. Final results are expected out within a period of 15 days. Author- Siphephile Kunene


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Municipal workers union, Samwu wants the City of Johannesburg to pay its members’ subscription fees into the unions account.

Samwu accuses the metro municipality of keeping the money in an attempt to collapse the union.

Hundreds of Samwu members gathered outside the municipality offices in Braamfontein, central Johannesburg, where they’ve handed over a memorandum of demands.

“We are not disputing any payments; and so far there will be continued engagement between us and leadership of Samwu.  There’s a lot of squabbles – in between where we cannot agree, where the money should be going. As the City, we’ve placed the money in what we call suspense account, ” says Chief Operations Officer in the City of Johannesburg, Mike Brinks.


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US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said Democratic leaders on Wednesday cut short a meeting with Republican President Donald Trump after he had a “meltdown” over a House of Representatives vote condemning his Syria withdrawal and showed no signs of having a plan to deal with a crisis there.

Trump called Pelosi a “third-rate politician” and the meeting in the White House deteriorated into a diatribe, Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer and House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer told reporters.

Later, in remarks to reporters on Capitol Hill, Pelosi said that Trump actually called her a “third-grade” politician.

“What we witnessed on the part of the president was a meltdown. Sad to say,” Pelosi had said upon leaving.

Trump posted on Twitter on Wednesday night – “Nervous Nancy’s unhinged meltdown!” with a photo of Pelosi standing up and pointing at him during the meeting.

The Democrats exited the meeting complaining that they were expecting to hear Trump provide details on a plan for dealing with an unfolding “crisis” in Syria but instead were subjected to “derogatory” language from him about congressional Democrats and Democratic former President Barack Obama.

White House spokesperson Stephanie Grisham, in a statement, called Pelosi’s decision to walk out “baffling but not surprising.”

She added that after Democratic leaders “chose to storm out,” remaining Republican leaders held a productive meeting.

Trump’s decision to withdraw American forces ahead of a Turkish offensive last week into northern Syria against US-allied Syrian Kurdish fighters, removing their protection, has been roundly criticized, even by fellow Republicans. The Americans and the Kurds had fought alongside each other against Islamic State militants, some of whom were captured and jailed under Kurdish control in Syria.

Pelosi said Trump was upset at the start of the closed meeting because so many Republicans joined Democrats to vote for a resolution condemning his decision to withdraw US forces from northeastern Syria.

The vote was 354 to 60, with dozens of Trump’s fellow Republicans joining the majority Democrats. The split underscored deep unhappiness in Congress over Trump’s action, which many lawmakers view as abandoning loyal Kurdish fighters.

“I think that vote – the size of the vote, more than 2-1 of the Republicans voted to oppose what the president did – probably got to the president. Because he was shaken up by it,” Pelosi said after emerging from the White House.

“And that’s why we couldn’t continue in the meeting because he was just not relating to the reality of it.”


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Sudan’s ruling council and rebel leaders have touted peace talks to end the country’s multiple conflicts, a key condition for the country’s removal from the United States’ sponsors of terrorism list.

The council, a transitional government, has made peace-making with rebels fighting Khartoum one of its main priorities.

Being designated a state sponsor of terrorism cuts Sudan off from desperately needed debt relief and financing from lenders such as the International Monetary Fund and World Bank. Removal from the list potentially opens the door for foreign investment.

The council took over the government in August when military and civilian parties and protest groups signed a three-year power-sharing deal after months of strife following the removal of authoritarian president Omar al-Bashir in April.

South Sudan brought together members of the council and rebel leaders from several areas for the latest talks.

“We need to learn how to resolve our differences and conflicts through peaceful means rather than using force. Using force will lead us nowhere except for the killing of our own people and the destruction of our countries,” said South Sudanese President Salva Kiir.

Thousands of people have been killed in Sudan’s civil wars, including the conflict in the western Darfur region, where rebels have been fighting the government since 2003.

In August, Sudanese officials and rebels set a two-month period for talks.

The talks will potentially deal with issues of how any cessation of hostilities will be monitored and set out ways of providing humanitarian access to all parts of Darfur and the Blue Nile region.

“Anchoring the peace process in principle of inclusivity and a vested interest in the well-being of the people of Sudan is key. It is my hope that our convening will pave the way for agreement to emerge between the transitional government and the other parties to the talks,” said Ethiopian Prime Minister and recent Nobel Peace Prize winner Abiy Ahmed.

Darfur’s war pits local rebel groups drawn largely from African farming tribes complaining about neglect against government forces in a conflict that has displaced about 2.5 million people. Fighting has subsided over the past four years but skirmishes persist.


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